COVID Likely to have a Summer Peak in the South


COVID hospitalizations peaked at virtually the same time year-over-year in France, Italy, The US, and Canada. The UK didn’t have a spring peak (due to an early start on vaccinations). Germany doesn’t report hospitalizations. Spain didn’t report hospitalizations until the summer.


It all seems like too much of a coincidence. This is why I think COVID-19 might have a little bounce in the South over the summer--essentially mirroring the one from the prior year.


Why? It's really hot in the South in the summer. So, people spend a lot of time indoors with recirculated air.


Just a theory. If hospitalizations start picking up in the South toward the end of June, then see it for what it is--not a variant-fueled disaster--but rather an expected seasonal trend.

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