November - 2020

Thought Leadership

Impact on COVID-19 of Wearing Masks, Population Density and Mass Gatherings

I offer the following as a step forward in measuring the value of wearing masks in public. Although one's choice to wear a mask actually...

Sturgis Indicates Danger for Upcoming Holiday Gatherings

A number of people have asked my opinion about the implications of COVID-19 for the holidays. Based on a question from a good friend,...

COVID-19 Hospitalizations Accelerate Again

In the first few days following the creation of my projections on November 8, the number of actual hospitalizations rose to match the...

COVID19's Status by State in Three Charts

The three maps below capture, as of this past Saturday (Nov 14), COVID-19's severity, the pace at which it's strengthening or weakening,...

The Pace of Increased COVID-19 Hospitalizations Slowed on Nov. 12

Two days ago hospitalizations due to COVID-19 Increased so rapidly they matched the worst case scenario, which was an unpleasant...

Your Planning is Unlikely to be Keeping Pace with COVID-19

Few seem to understand just how quickly the US' COVID-19 situation is deteriorating. On Sunday night when there were 56,800 COVID-19...

COVID Hospitalizations Will Double Within a Matter of Weeks

Introduction Over the past few months, I have said and written that we should look to Europe's experience with COVID to anticipate what...