Chase Intel - Thought Leadership

Thought Leadership

The Vaccine May Already be Helping!

COVID-19 newly-confirmed case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply in the US. No one seems to know why. My working theory is th...

The Very Latest on COVID-19

Last Thursday I delivered a talk on COVID-19 to the members of the Institute for Innovation in Large Organizations. It was very well rece...

COVID-19's Direction in 3 Lines

This is a simple representation that captures the essence of the direction COVID-19 is taking in the US. The lines in the attached chart ...

Thoughts on Current COVID-19 Trends

Here are my current thoughts on trends in the COVID-19 pandemic. First thing is that I made some predictions early last month. Two unfort...

CDC's Near-Term Deaths Estimates Epitomize Analytical Failures

The CDC’s consensus estimate for near-term deaths from COVID-19 is an ongoing demonstration for why many corporate analytics projects f...

Our Approach to Setting COVID-19 Policy is Flawed

Many political leaders frame their COVID-19 policies as a choice between lives and "business." Science and basic planning principles sa...

Impact on COVID-19 of Wearing Masks, Population Density and Mass Gatherings

I offer the following as a step forward in measuring the value of wearing masks in public. Although one's choice to wear a mask actuall...

The Implications of the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally for Holiday Gatherings

A number of people have asked my opinion about the implications of COVID-19 for the holidays. Based on a question from a good friend, I'v...

COVID-19 Hospitalizations Accelerate Again

In the first few days following the creation of my projections on November 8, the number of actual hospitalizations rose to match the wor...

COVID19's Status by State in Three Charts

The three maps below capture, as of this past Saturday (Nov 14), COVID-19's severity, the pace at which it's strengthening or weakening, ...

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