Dec 19, 20201 min readPredicting COVID's Direction with Three LinesThis is a simple representation that captures the essence of the direction COVID-19 is taking in the US. The lines in the attached chart...
Dec 17, 20203 min readThoughts on Current COVID-19 TrendsHere are my current thoughts on trends in the COVID-19 pandemic. First thing is that I made some predictions early last month. Two...
Dec 16, 20201 min readCDC's Near-Term Death Estimates Epitomize Analytical FailuresThe CDC’s consensus estimate for near-term deaths from COVID-19 is an ongoing demonstration for why many corporate analytics projects...
Dec 10, 20201 min readCOVID-19 Policies are Built on a Flawed FoundationMany political leaders frame their COVID-19 policies as a choice between lives and "business." Science and basic planning principles...