California May be Poised to Experience a Rapid Increase of COVID-19 Cases
In an earlier post I expressed my hope that California would escape the worst of this crisis. I'm not alone in this. The model of the Institute for Hospital Metrics and Evaluation (the one quoted most often by the White House) indicates the peak of the crisis occurred 5 days ago (April 18). The Model Consortium of The University of Texas at Austin puts the odds that California has passed its peak at 72%. But I am no longer as optimistic as I was, nor as these models indicate.