Some Good (and bad) News Emanating from Italy

I'll start with the bad news. March 24 marked Italy's second highest death toll during the entire SARS-CoV-2 crisis. Disappointing doesn't cover it, but there was an encouraging sign as well. New cases have been below the peak set on March 21 for three consecutive days.

Some other Western countries have recently had lower new case counts as well, but to my eye, Italy's seems the most likely to be more than just random variation. This provides some early, hopeful evidence a lock down can work in a Western country.