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The Vaccine May Already be Helping!
COVID-19 newly-confirmed case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply in the US. No one seems to know why. My working theory is...
Feb 3, 20211 min read


COVID Update February 2021
Last Thursday I delivered a talk on COVID-19 to the members of the Institute for Innovation in Large Organizations. It was very well...
Feb 2, 20211 min read


Predicting COVID's Direction with Three Lines
This is a simple representation that captures the essence of the direction COVID-19 is taking in the US. The lines in the attached chart...
Dec 19, 20201 min read


Thoughts on Current COVID-19 Trends
Here are my current thoughts on trends in the COVID-19 pandemic. First thing is that I made some predictions early last month. Two...
Dec 16, 20203 min read


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