COVID19's Status by State in Three Charts
The three maps below capture, as of this past Saturday (Nov 14), COVID-19's severity, the pace at which it's strengthening or weakening,...
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Nov 13, 20201 min read
The Pace of Increased COVID-19 Hospitalizations Slowed on Nov. 12
Two days ago hospitalizations due to COVID-19 Increased so rapidly they matched the worst case scenario, which was an unpleasant...
Nov 12, 20201 min read
Your Planning is Unlikely to be Keeping Pace with COVID-19
Few seem to understand just how quickly the US' COVID-19 situation is deteriorating. On Sunday night when there were 56,800 COVID-19...
Nov 9, 202012 min read
COVID Hospitalizations Will Double Within a Matter of Weeks
Introduction Over the past few months, I have said and written that we should look to Europe's experience with COVID to anticipate what...
Apr 23, 20202 min read
California is Poised to Experience a Rapid Increase of COVID-19 Cases
In an earlier post I expressed my hope that California would escape the worst of this crisis. I'm not alone in this. The model of the...
Apr 16, 20207 min read
The CDC's COVID Model is Systematically Underestimating Future Deaths
Introduction I don't recall another time of my life when computer models have occupied so much of the national conversation. The model we...
Apr 10, 20201 min read
New York not Hitting SARS-CoV2 Peak Update
An update to my prior post. I stand by the substance of the post that New York has not seen a clear peak, but I found a better way to...
Apr 9, 20203 min read
New York State COVID Deaths will Not Peak Today
The most visible model for projecting deaths from SARS-CoV2 is that of The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation of the University...
Apr 6, 20202 min read
Will California be spared?
I have to say I've been thinking states like Florida, California, and Texas represent a sort of ticking time bomb and that when...
Mar 25, 20201 min read
Some Good (and bad) News Emanating from Italy
I'll start with the bad news. March 24 marked Italy's second highest death toll during the entire SARS-CoV-2 crisis. Disappointing...
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