The three maps below capture, as of this past Saturday (Nov 14), COVID-19's severity, the pace at which it's strengthening or weakening,...

Two days ago hospitalizations due to COVID-19 Increased so rapidly they matched the worst case scenario, which was an unpleasant...

Few seem to understand just how quickly the US' COVID-19 situation is deteriorating. On Sunday night when there were 56,800 COVID-19...

Introduction Over the past few months, I have said and written that we should look to Europe's experience with COVID to anticipate what...

In an earlier post I expressed my hope that California would escape the worst of this crisis. I'm not alone in this. The model of the...

Introduction I don't recall another time of my life when computer models have occupied so much of the national conversation. The model we...

An update to my prior post. I stand by the substance of the post that New York has not seen a clear peak, but I found a better way to...

The most visible model for projecting deaths from SARS-CoV2 is that of The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation of the University...

I have to say I've been thinking states like Florida, California, and Texas represent a sort of ticking time bomb and that when...

I'll start with the bad news. March 24 marked Italy's second highest death toll during the entire SARS-CoV-2 crisis. Disappointing...