The US' vaccine strategy is overly simplistic, inflexible, and is costing lives and needlessly extending the duration of the pandemic....

COVID-19 newly-confirmed case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply in the US. No one seems to know why. My working theory is...

Last Thursday I delivered a talk on COVID-19 to the members of the Institute for Innovation in Large Organizations. It was very well...

This is a simple representation that captures the essence of the direction COVID-19 is taking in the US. The lines in the attached chart...

Here are my current thoughts on trends in the COVID-19 pandemic. First thing is that I made some predictions early last month. Two...

The CDC’s consensus estimate for near-term deaths from COVID-19 is an ongoing demonstration for why many corporate analytics projects...

Many political leaders frame their COVID-19 policies as a choice between lives and "business." Science and basic planning principles...

I offer the following as a step forward in measuring the value of wearing masks in public. Although one's choice to wear a mask actually...

A number of people have asked my opinion about the implications of COVID-19 for the holidays. Based on a question from a good friend,...

In the first few days following the creation of my projections on November 8, the number of actual hospitalizations rose to match the...